...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL EXPECTED TO PASS EAST OF THE
AREA...BUT IMPACTS WILL STILL BE FELT...
.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK...
NORTHEASTERN NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT AND ADJACENT
COASTAL WATERS.
.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN...SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX...SOUTHERN NEW LONDON...
NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK...NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK...SOUTHWESTERN
SUFFOLK AND SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK.
FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF LONG ISLAND AND CONNECTICUT COASTAL WATERS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD...ESSEX...HUDSON...UNION...SOUTHERN
WESTCHESTER...NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)...BRONX...RICHMOND (STATEN
ISLAND)...KINGS (BROOKLYN)...QUEENS AND NASSAU.
A TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS...NORTHERN NEW LONDON.
FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF LONG ISLAND AND CONNECTICUT COASTAL WATERS AND NEW
YORK HARBOR.
.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 8 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 33.0N...LONGITUDE 74.7W. THIS WAS ABOUT 540 MILES SOUTH
OF NEW YORK CITY NY...OR ABOUT 580 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF
MONTAUK POINT NY. STORM MOTION WAS N OR 010 DEGREES AT 18 MPH.
STORM INTENSITY WAS 110 MPH.
.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL IS FORECAST TO PASS ABOUT 150 MILES
EAST OF MONTAUK POINT ON LONG ISLAND...OR ABOUT 250 MILES EAST OF
NEW YORK CITY. THE GREATEST IMPACTS WILL BE ACROSS EASTERN LONG
ISLAND...SOUTHEASTERN CONNECTICUT...AND THE ADJACENT WATERS OF
LONG ISLAND SOUND AND THE ATLANTIC OCEAN.
WHEN MAKING DECISIONS...DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK.
IMPACTS FROM THIS STORM CAN BE FELT WELL AWAY FROM THE CENTER OF
THE HURRICANE.
.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN UPTON AROUND 1 AM EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
NONE.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 63
PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE MOST LIKELY TO BEGIN FRIDAY
AFTERNOON.
...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM WINDS
ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 40 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
50 MPH.
MINOR DAMAGE MAY OCCUR TO OLDER MOBILE HOMES. RESIDENTS SHOULD
MOVE LOOSE ITEMS INDOORS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND OUTDOOR
FURNITURE...AS THEY WILL BE BLOWN AROUND. NEWLY PLANTED OR YOUNG
TREES AND SHRUBS MAY BE UPROOTED IF NOT SECURED PROPERLY.
ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES WILL BE POSSIBLE.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES THE COAST...THERE IS AN INCREASING
CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS UP
TO 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO THE
COAST...RESULTING IN WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION UP TO 1 TO
3 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE.
ALSO...A SURGE OF 1 TO 2 FT MAY FOLLOW ON SATURDAY...AFTER THE
STORM HAS PASSED.

FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION
PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. EVACUATE IF
DIRECTED TO DO SO BY LOCAL OFFICIALS...OR IF YOUR HOME IS
VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS OR FLOODING. FOR INTERESTS AT
PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...URGENTLY COMPLETE PRESCRIBED
PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS PLAN FOR
TROPICAL CYCLONES.
IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...MAKE FINAL PREPARATIONS
FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT BEFORE LEAVING IT. BE SURE TO ACCOUNT FOR
THE POSSIBLE CLOSURE OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS. REGARDING ANY
COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT
AND WELL SECURED.
FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...CONTINUE WITH YOUR
PREPARATIONS AND LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS. REGARDING ANY
COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WATCH...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RETURN TO PORT
OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR. DETERMINE THE BEST STRATEGY FOR SECURING YOUR
CRAFT.
CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS
OUTLETS FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE
CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND
PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED
RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT.

...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL EXPECTED TO PASS EAST OF THE
AREA...BUT IMPACTS WILL STILL BE FELT...
.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK...
NORTHEASTERN NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT AND ADJACENT
COASTAL WATERS.
.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN...SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX...SOUTHERN NEW LONDON...
NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK...NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK...SOUTHWESTERN
SUFFOLK AND SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK.
FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF LONG ISLAND AND CONNECTICUT COASTAL WATERS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD...ESSEX...HUDSON...UNION...SOUTHERN
WESTCHESTER...NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)...BRONX...RICHMOND (STATEN
ISLAND)...KINGS (BROOKLYN)...QUEENS AND NASSAU.
A TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS...NORTHERN NEW LONDON.
FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF LONG ISLAND AND CONNECTICUT COASTAL WATERS AND NEW
YORK HARBOR.
.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 8 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 33.0N...LONGITUDE 74.7W. THIS WAS ABOUT 540 MILES SOUTH
OF NEW YORK CITY NY...OR ABOUT 580 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF
MONTAUK POINT NY. STORM MOTION WAS N OR 010 DEGREES AT 18 MPH.
STORM INTENSITY WAS 110 MPH.
.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL IS FORECAST TO PASS ABOUT 150 MILES
EAST OF MONTAUK POINT ON LONG ISLAND...OR ABOUT 250 MILES EAST OF
NEW YORK CITY. THE GREATEST IMPACTS WILL BE ACROSS EASTERN LONG
ISLAND...SOUTHEASTERN CONNECTICUT...AND THE ADJACENT WATERS OF
LONG ISLAND SOUND AND THE ATLANTIC OCEAN.
WHEN MAKING DECISIONS...DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK.
IMPACTS FROM THIS STORM CAN BE FELT WELL AWAY FROM THE CENTER OF
THE HURRICANE.
.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN UPTON AROUND 1 AM EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
NONE.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS IS AT 48 PERCENT. THIS
REPRESENTS A STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.
...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE EARL MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED HIGH
WINDS MAY INCREASE. RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECAST FOR UPDATES. THE ONSET OF STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE LATE
FRIDAY AFTERNOON...AND THEN LAST INTO THE EVENING.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES THE COAST...THERE IS AN INCREASING
CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS UP
TO 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO THE
COAST...RESULTING IN WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION UP TO 1 TO
2 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE.
THE LOCATIONS MOST LIKELY TO REALIZE MINOR COASTAL FLOODING
INCLUDE THE SHORELINES ADJACENT TO LONG ISLAND SOUND DURING TIMES
OF HIGH TIDE.
...COASTAL HAZARDS...
LARGE WAVES FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND WILL CAUSE SUBSTANTIAL BEACH
EROSION...WITH WASHOVERS POSSIBLE ALONG ATLANTIC FACING
SHORELINES.
...RIP CURRENTS...
INCREASINGLY HIGH SURF AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ON THE OCEAN
WILL DEVELOP TODAY INTO FRIDAY...WITH SURF CONDITIONS REMAINING
DANGEROUS INTO THE WEEKEND.

FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION
PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. EVACUATE IF
DIRECTED TO DO SO BY LOCAL OFFICIALS...OR IF YOUR HOME IS
VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS OR FLOODING. FOR INTERESTS AT
PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...URGENTLY COMPLETE PRESCRIBED
PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS PLAN FOR
TROPICAL CYCLONES.
IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...MAKE FINAL PREPARATIONS
FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT BEFORE LEAVING IT. BE SURE TO ACCOUNT FOR
THE POSSIBLE CLOSURE OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS. REGARDING ANY
COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT
AND WELL SECURED.
FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...CONTINUE WITH YOUR
PREPARATIONS AND LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS. REGARDING ANY
COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WATCH...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RETURN TO PORT
OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR. DETERMINE THE BEST STRATEGY FOR SECURING YOUR
CRAFT.
CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS
OUTLETS FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE
CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND
PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED
RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT.

...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL EXPECTED TO PASS EAST OF THE
AREA...BUT IMPACTS WILL STILL BE FELT...
.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK...
NORTHEASTERN NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT AND ADJACENT
COASTAL WATERS.
.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN...SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX...SOUTHERN NEW LONDON...
NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK...NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK...SOUTHWESTERN
SUFFOLK AND SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK.
FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF LONG ISLAND AND CONNECTICUT COASTAL WATERS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD...ESSEX...HUDSON...UNION...SOUTHERN
WESTCHESTER...NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)...BRONX...RICHMOND (STATEN
ISLAND)...KINGS (BROOKLYN)...QUEENS AND NASSAU.
A TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS...NORTHERN NEW LONDON.
FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF LONG ISLAND AND CONNECTICUT COASTAL WATERS AND NEW
YORK HARBOR.
.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 8 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 33.0N...LONGITUDE 74.7W. THIS WAS ABOUT 540 MILES SOUTH
OF NEW YORK CITY NY...OR ABOUT 580 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF
MONTAUK POINT NY. STORM MOTION WAS N OR 010 DEGREES AT 18 MPH.
STORM INTENSITY WAS 110 MPH.
.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL IS FORECAST TO PASS ABOUT 150 MILES
EAST OF MONTAUK POINT ON LONG ISLAND...OR ABOUT 250 MILES EAST OF
NEW YORK CITY. THE GREATEST IMPACTS WILL BE ACROSS EASTERN LONG
ISLAND...SOUTHEASTERN CONNECTICUT...AND THE ADJACENT WATERS OF
LONG ISLAND SOUND AND THE ATLANTIC OCEAN.
WHEN MAKING DECISIONS...DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK.
IMPACTS FROM THIS STORM CAN BE FELT WELL AWAY FROM THE CENTER OF
THE HURRICANE.
.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN UPTON AROUND 1 AM EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
NONE.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS IS AT 48 PERCENT. THIS
REPRESENTS A STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.
...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE EARL MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED HIGH
WINDS MAY INCREASE. RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECAST FOR UPDATES. THE ONSET OF STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE LATE
FRIDAY AFTERNOON...AND THEN LAST INTO THE EVENING.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES THE COAST...THERE IS AN INCREASING
CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS UP
TO 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO THE
COAST...RESULTING IN WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION UP TO 1 TO
2 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE.
THE LOCATIONS MOST LIKELY TO REALIZE MINOR COASTAL FLOODING
INCLUDE THE SHORELINES ADJACENT TO LONG ISLAND SOUND DURING TIMES
OF HIGH TIDE.
...COASTAL HAZARDS...
LARGE WAVES FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND WILL CAUSE SUBSTANTIAL BEACH
EROSION...WITH WASHOVERS POSSIBLE ALONG ATLANTIC FACING
SHORELINES.
...RIP CURRENTS...
INCREASINGLY HIGH SURF AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ON THE OCEAN
WILL DEVELOP TODAY INTO FRIDAY...WITH SURF CONDITIONS REMAINING
DANGEROUS INTO THE WEEKEND.

FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION
PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. EVACUATE IF
DIRECTED TO DO SO BY LOCAL OFFICIALS...OR IF YOUR HOME IS
VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS OR FLOODING. FOR INTERESTS AT
PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...URGENTLY COMPLETE PRESCRIBED
PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS PLAN FOR
TROPICAL CYCLONES.
IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...MAKE FINAL PREPARATIONS
FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT BEFORE LEAVING IT. BE SURE TO ACCOUNT FOR
THE POSSIBLE CLOSURE OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS. REGARDING ANY
COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT
AND WELL SECURED.
FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...CONTINUE WITH YOUR
PREPARATIONS AND LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS. REGARDING ANY
COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WATCH...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RETURN TO PORT
OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR. DETERMINE THE BEST STRATEGY FOR SECURING YOUR
CRAFT.
CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS
OUTLETS FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE
CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND
PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED
RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT.

...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL EXPECTED TO PASS EAST OF THE
AREA...BUT IMPACTS WILL STILL BE FELT...
.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK...
NORTHEASTERN NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT AND ADJACENT
COASTAL WATERS.
.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN...SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX...SOUTHERN NEW LONDON...
NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK...NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK...SOUTHWESTERN
SUFFOLK AND SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK.
FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF LONG ISLAND AND CONNECTICUT COASTAL WATERS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD...ESSEX...HUDSON...UNION...SOUTHERN
WESTCHESTER...NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)...BRONX...RICHMOND (STATEN
ISLAND)...KINGS (BROOKLYN)...QUEENS AND NASSAU.
A TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS...NORTHERN NEW LONDON.
FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF LONG ISLAND AND CONNECTICUT COASTAL WATERS AND NEW
YORK HARBOR.
.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 8 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 33.0N...LONGITUDE 74.7W. THIS WAS ABOUT 540 MILES SOUTH
OF NEW YORK CITY NY...OR ABOUT 580 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF
MONTAUK POINT NY. STORM MOTION WAS N OR 010 DEGREES AT 18 MPH.
STORM INTENSITY WAS 110 MPH.
.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL IS FORECAST TO PASS ABOUT 150 MILES
EAST OF MONTAUK POINT ON LONG ISLAND...OR ABOUT 250 MILES EAST OF
NEW YORK CITY. THE GREATEST IMPACTS WILL BE ACROSS EASTERN LONG
ISLAND...SOUTHEASTERN CONNECTICUT...AND THE ADJACENT WATERS OF
LONG ISLAND SOUND AND THE ATLANTIC OCEAN.
WHEN MAKING DECISIONS...DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK.
IMPACTS FROM THIS STORM CAN BE FELT WELL AWAY FROM THE CENTER OF
THE HURRICANE.
.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN UPTON AROUND 1 AM EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
NONE.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 63
PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE MOST LIKELY TO BEGIN FRIDAY
AFTERNOON.
...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM WINDS
ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 40 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
50 MPH.
MINOR DAMAGE MAY OCCUR TO OLDER MOBILE HOMES. RESIDENTS SHOULD
MOVE LOOSE ITEMS INDOORS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND OUTDOOR
FURNITURE...AS THEY WILL BE BLOWN AROUND. NEWLY PLANTED OR YOUNG
TREES AND SHRUBS MAY BE UPROOTED IF NOT SECURED PROPERLY.
ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES WILL BE POSSIBLE.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES THE COAST...THERE IS AN INCREASING
CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS UP
TO 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO THE
COAST...RESULTING IN WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION UP TO 1 TO
3 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE.
ALSO...A SURGE OF 1 TO 2 FT MAY FOLLOW ON SATURDAY...AFTER THE
STORM HAS PASSED.

FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION
PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. EVACUATE IF
DIRECTED TO DO SO BY LOCAL OFFICIALS...OR IF YOUR HOME IS
VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS OR FLOODING. FOR INTERESTS AT
PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...URGENTLY COMPLETE PRESCRIBED
PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS PLAN FOR
TROPICAL CYCLONES.
IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...MAKE FINAL PREPARATIONS
FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT BEFORE LEAVING IT. BE SURE TO ACCOUNT FOR
THE POSSIBLE CLOSURE OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS. REGARDING ANY
COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT
AND WELL SECURED.
FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...CONTINUE WITH YOUR
PREPARATIONS AND LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS. REGARDING ANY
COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WATCH...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RETURN TO PORT
OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR. DETERMINE THE BEST STRATEGY FOR SECURING YOUR
CRAFT.
CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS
OUTLETS FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE
CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND
PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED
RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT.

...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL EXPECTED TO PASS EAST OF THE
AREA...BUT IMPACTS WILL STILL BE FELT...
.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK...
NORTHEASTERN NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT AND ADJACENT
COASTAL WATERS.
.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN...SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX...SOUTHERN NEW LONDON...
NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK...NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK...SOUTHWESTERN
SUFFOLK AND SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK.
FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF LONG ISLAND AND CONNECTICUT COASTAL WATERS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD...ESSEX...HUDSON...UNION...SOUTHERN
WESTCHESTER...NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)...BRONX...RICHMOND (STATEN
ISLAND)...KINGS (BROOKLYN)...QUEENS AND NASSAU.
A TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS...NORTHERN NEW LONDON.
FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF LONG ISLAND AND CONNECTICUT COASTAL WATERS AND NEW
YORK HARBOR.
.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 8 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 33.0N...LONGITUDE 74.7W. THIS WAS ABOUT 540 MILES SOUTH
OF NEW YORK CITY NY...OR ABOUT 580 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF
MONTAUK POINT NY. STORM MOTION WAS N OR 010 DEGREES AT 18 MPH.
STORM INTENSITY WAS 110 MPH.
.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL IS FORECAST TO PASS ABOUT 150 MILES
EAST OF MONTAUK POINT ON LONG ISLAND...OR ABOUT 250 MILES EAST OF
NEW YORK CITY. THE GREATEST IMPACTS WILL BE ACROSS EASTERN LONG
ISLAND...SOUTHEASTERN CONNECTICUT...AND THE ADJACENT WATERS OF
LONG ISLAND SOUND AND THE ATLANTIC OCEAN.
WHEN MAKING DECISIONS...DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK.
IMPACTS FROM THIS STORM CAN BE FELT WELL AWAY FROM THE CENTER OF
THE HURRICANE.
.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN UPTON AROUND 1 AM EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
NONE.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS IS AT 48 PERCENT. THIS
REPRESENTS A STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.
...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE EARL MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED HIGH
WINDS MAY INCREASE. RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECAST FOR UPDATES. THE ONSET OF STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE LATE
FRIDAY AFTERNOON...AND THEN LAST INTO THE EVENING.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES THE COAST...THERE IS AN INCREASING
CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS UP
TO 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO THE
COAST...RESULTING IN WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION UP TO 1 TO
2 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE.
THE LOCATIONS MOST LIKELY TO REALIZE MINOR COASTAL FLOODING
INCLUDE THE SHORELINES ADJACENT TO LONG ISLAND SOUND DURING TIMES
OF HIGH TIDE.
...COASTAL HAZARDS...
LARGE WAVES FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND WILL CAUSE SUBSTANTIAL BEACH
EROSION...WITH WASHOVERS POSSIBLE ALONG ATLANTIC FACING
SHORELINES.
...RIP CURRENTS...
INCREASINGLY HIGH SURF AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ON THE OCEAN
WILL DEVELOP TODAY INTO FRIDAY...WITH SURF CONDITIONS REMAINING
DANGEROUS INTO THE WEEKEND.

FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION
PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. EVACUATE IF
DIRECTED TO DO SO BY LOCAL OFFICIALS...OR IF YOUR HOME IS
VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS OR FLOODING. FOR INTERESTS AT
PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...URGENTLY COMPLETE PRESCRIBED
PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS PLAN FOR
TROPICAL CYCLONES.
IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...MAKE FINAL PREPARATIONS
FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT BEFORE LEAVING IT. BE SURE TO ACCOUNT FOR
THE POSSIBLE CLOSURE OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS. REGARDING ANY
COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT
AND WELL SECURED.
FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...CONTINUE WITH YOUR
PREPARATIONS AND LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS. REGARDING ANY
COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WATCH...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RETURN TO PORT
OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR. DETERMINE THE BEST STRATEGY FOR SECURING YOUR
CRAFT.
CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS
OUTLETS FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE
CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND
PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED
RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT.

...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL EXPECTED TO PASS EAST OF THE
AREA...BUT IMPACTS WILL STILL BE FELT...
.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK...
NORTHEASTERN NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT AND ADJACENT
COASTAL WATERS.
.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN...SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX...SOUTHERN NEW LONDON...
NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK...NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK...SOUTHWESTERN
SUFFOLK AND SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK.
FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF LONG ISLAND AND CONNECTICUT COASTAL WATERS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD...ESSEX...HUDSON...UNION...SOUTHERN
WESTCHESTER...NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)...BRONX...RICHMOND (STATEN
ISLAND)...KINGS (BROOKLYN)...QUEENS AND NASSAU.
A TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS...NORTHERN NEW LONDON.
FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF LONG ISLAND AND CONNECTICUT COASTAL WATERS AND NEW
YORK HARBOR.
.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 8 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 33.0N...LONGITUDE 74.7W. THIS WAS ABOUT 540 MILES SOUTH
OF NEW YORK CITY NY...OR ABOUT 580 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF
MONTAUK POINT NY. STORM MOTION WAS N OR 010 DEGREES AT 18 MPH.
STORM INTENSITY WAS 110 MPH.
.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL IS FORECAST TO PASS ABOUT 150 MILES
EAST OF MONTAUK POINT ON LONG ISLAND...OR ABOUT 250 MILES EAST OF
NEW YORK CITY. THE GREATEST IMPACTS WILL BE ACROSS EASTERN LONG
ISLAND...SOUTHEASTERN CONNECTICUT...AND THE ADJACENT WATERS OF
LONG ISLAND SOUND AND THE ATLANTIC OCEAN.
WHEN MAKING DECISIONS...DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK.
IMPACTS FROM THIS STORM CAN BE FELT WELL AWAY FROM THE CENTER OF
THE HURRICANE.
.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN UPTON AROUND 1 AM EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
NONE.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS IS AT 48 PERCENT. THIS
REPRESENTS A STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.
...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE EARL MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED HIGH
WINDS MAY INCREASE. RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECAST FOR UPDATES. THE ONSET OF STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE LATE
FRIDAY AFTERNOON...AND THEN LAST INTO THE EVENING.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES THE COAST...THERE IS AN INCREASING
CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS UP
TO 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO THE
COAST...RESULTING IN WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION UP TO 1 TO
2 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE.
THE LOCATIONS MOST LIKELY TO REALIZE MINOR COASTAL FLOODING
INCLUDE THE SHORELINES ADJACENT TO LONG ISLAND SOUND DURING TIMES
OF HIGH TIDE.
...COASTAL HAZARDS...
LARGE WAVES FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND WILL CAUSE SUBSTANTIAL BEACH
EROSION...WITH WASHOVERS POSSIBLE ALONG ATLANTIC FACING
SHORELINES.
...RIP CURRENTS...
INCREASINGLY HIGH SURF AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ON THE OCEAN
WILL DEVELOP TODAY INTO FRIDAY...WITH SURF CONDITIONS REMAINING
DANGEROUS INTO THE WEEKEND.

FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION
PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. EVACUATE IF
DIRECTED TO DO SO BY LOCAL OFFICIALS...OR IF YOUR HOME IS
VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS OR FLOODING. FOR INTERESTS AT
PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...URGENTLY COMPLETE PRESCRIBED
PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS PLAN FOR
TROPICAL CYCLONES.
IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...MAKE FINAL PREPARATIONS
FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT BEFORE LEAVING IT. BE SURE TO ACCOUNT FOR
THE POSSIBLE CLOSURE OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS. REGARDING ANY
COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT
AND WELL SECURED.
FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...CONTINUE WITH YOUR
PREPARATIONS AND LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS. REGARDING ANY
COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WATCH...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RETURN TO PORT
OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR. DETERMINE THE BEST STRATEGY FOR SECURING YOUR
CRAFT.
CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS
OUTLETS FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE
CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND
PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED
RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT.